On April 11th, Paul Ryan (R-WI) formally announced that he would not be seeking re-election in 2018. A Ryan aide, Brendan Buck said that “This morning Speaker Ryan shared with his colleagues that this
will be his last year as a member of the House. He will serve out his full term, run through the tape, and then retire in January. After nearly twenty years in the House, the speaker is proud of all that has been accomplished and is ready to devote more of his time to being a husband and a father.”
“Running the House of Representatives was like ‘running a daycare center'”
While the whole “be a better husband and father” statement sounds nice, rumors are circulating that Paul Ryan may be seeking a presidential run in 2020. In a Politico report, three dozen Ryan associates commented on the Speaker’s unhappiness with his position. Ryan seems to have expressed dismay at the “micro-tactics” of inter-party debate as well as being frustrated with the current Congress, saying that running the House of Representatives was like “running a daycare center.” With Ryan as president, he could finally be free to do more than the President’s bidding and spearhead a new Republican movement.
The soon-to-be former Speaker of the House also has experience on the national campaign trail. Paul Ryan was former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney’s running mate in the 2012 Presidential Election
against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Paul Ryan has denied any interest in running for President, but he also denied that he was leaving the house, so seeing Paul Ryan take on Donald Trump in the 2020 Republican Primaries may not be unrealistic. Ryan’s chances of winning, however, may not be great.
While President Trump’s approval ratings may be low, Paul Ryan’s are even lower as Congress stalls on big legislation. As of 2017
, Ryan’s approval rating was at 29%, while Trump’s was at 39%. Ryan’s ratings are definitely a drop from other Speakers before him at a similar time in their tenure. John Boehner had a 36% approval rating, Nancy Pelosi had a 35% approval rating
, and Newt Gingrich had an approval rating of 43%
. But while Ryan may appeal to more moderate Republicans, President Trump’s base stays strong
and devoted to their president.
No matter if Paul Ryan runs in 2020 or not, it should be interesting to see if the Speaker of the House can stay away from the crazy political scene of the 21st Century.